A

Anwar, Md Nurul, Hickson, Roslyn I., Mehra, Somya, Price, David J., McCaw, James M., Flegg, Mark B., and Flegg, Jennifer A. (2023) Optimal Interruption of P. vivax Malaria Transmission Using Mass Drug Administration. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 85 (6). 43.

Anwar, Md Nurul, Hickson, Roslyn I., Mehra, Somya, McCaw, James M., and Flegg, Jennifer A. (2022) A Multiscale Mathematical Model of Plasmodium Vivax Transmission. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 84. 81.

Allen, Andrew M., Jongejans, Eelke, van de Pol, Martijn, Ens, Bruno J., Frauendorf, Magali, van der Sluijs, Martijn, and de Kroon, Hans (2022) The demographic causes of population change vary across four decades in a long-lived shorebird. Ecology, 103 (4). e3615.

Adegboye, Oyelola A., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Pak, Anton, Gayawan, Ezra, Leung, Denis H.Y., Rojas, Diana P., Elfaki, Faiz, McBryde, Emma S., and Eisen, Damon P. (2021) Change in outbreak epicentre and its impact on the importation risks of COVID-19 progression: a modelling study. Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 40. 101988.

Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Viney, Kerri, Gray, Darren J., McBryde, Emma S., Xu, Zuhui, and Clements, Archie C.A. (2020) Development of a risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. PLoS ONE, 15 (1). e0227100.

Adekunle, Adeshina I., Adegboye, Oyelola A., and Kazi, Monsur (2019) Flooding in Townsville, north Queensland, Australia, in February 2019 and its effects on mosquito-borne diseases. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16 (8). 1393.

Adekunle, Adeshina I., Meehan, Michael T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2019) Mathematical analysis of a Wolbachia invasive model with imperfect maternal transmission and loss of Wolbachia infection. Infectious Disease Modelling, 4. pp. 265-285.

B

Bonyah, E., Ogunlade, S., Purohit, S.D., and Singh, Jagdev (2021) Modelling Cultural Hereditary Transmission: Insight Through Optimal Control. Ecological Complexity, 45. 100890.

Brouwer, Lyanne, Cockburn, Andrew, and van de Pol, Martijn (2020) Integrating fitness components reveals that survival costs outweigh other benefits and costs of group living in two closely related species. American Naturalist, 195 (2). pp. 201-215.

Brown, Simon, Cooke, Delwyn, and Blackwell, Leonard (2018) Monitoring the menstrual cycle using urinary oestrone glucuronide: the relationship between excretion rate and concentration. International Journal of Basic Medical Sciences and Pharmacy, 8 (2). pp. 38-45.

Brock, Aleisha R., Ross, Joshua V., Parikh, Sunil, and Esterman, Adrian (2018) The role of antimalarial quality in the emergence and transmission of resistance. Medical Hypotheses, 111. pp. 49-54.

C

Caldwell, Jamie M., de Lara-Tuprio, Elvira, Estuar, Maria Regina Justina E., Sarmiento, Raymond Francis R., Abayawardana, Milinda, Leong, Robert Neil F., Gray, Richard T., Wood, James G., Le, Linh-Vi, McBryde, Emma S., Ragonnet, Romain, and Trauer, James M. (2021) Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 14. 100211.

Caldwell, Jamie M., Le, Xuan, McIntosh, Lorin, Meehan, Michael T., Ogunlade, Samson, Ragonnet, Romain, O'Neill, Genevieve K., Trauer, Tom, and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Vaccines and variants: modelling insights into emerging issues in COVID-19 epidemiology. Paediatric Respiratory Reviews, 39. pp. 32-39.

D

de Villemereuil, Pierre, Charmantier, Anne, Arlt, Debora, Bize, Pierre, Brekke, Patricia, Brouwer, Lyanne, Cockburn, Andrew, Côté, Steeve D., Dobson, F. Stephen, Evans, Simon R., Festa-Bianchet, Marco, Gamelon, Marlène, Hamel, Sandra, Hegelbach, Johann, Jerstad, Kurt, Kempenaers, Bart, Kruuk, Loeske E.B., Kumpula, Jouko, Kvalnes, Thomas, McAdam, Andrew G., McFarlane, S. Eryn, Morrissey, Michael B., Pärt, Tomas, Pemberton, Josephine M., Qvarnström, Anna, Røstad, Ole Wiggo, Schroeder, Julia, Senar, Juan Carlos, Sheldon, Ben C., van de Pol, Martijn, Visser, Marcel E., Wheelwright, Nathaniel T., Tufto, Jarle, and Chevin, Luis Miguel (2020) Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (50). pp. 31969-31978.

Doan, Tan N., Cao, Pengxing, Emeto, Theophilus I., Mccaw, James M., and McBryde, Emma S. (2018) Predicting the outcomes of new short-course regimens for multi-drug resistant tuberculosis using intrahost and pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modelling. Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, 62 (12). e01487-18.

E

Eisen, Damon P., Leder, Karin, Woods, Robyn L., Lockery, Jessica E., McGuinness, Sarah L., Wolfe, Rory, Pilcher, David, Moore, Elizabeth M., Shastry, Adithya, Nelson, Mark R., Reid, Christopher M., McNeil, John J., and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Effect of aspirin on deaths associated with sepsis in healthy older people (ANTISEPSIS): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 9 (2). pp. 186-195.

Estill, Janne, Islam, Tauhid, Houben, Rein M.G.J., Rudman, Jamie, Ragonnet, Romain, McBryde, Emma S., Trauer, James M., Orel, Erol, Nguyen, Anh Tuan, Rahevar, Kalpeshsinh, Morishita, Fukushi, Oh, Kyung Hyun, Raviglione, Mario C., and Keiser, Olivia (2021) Tuberculosis in the Western Pacific Region: Estimating the burden of disease and return on investment 2020–2030 in four countries. The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 11. 100147.

F

Foster, J'Belle, Mendez, Diana, Marais, Ben, Peniyamina, Dunstan, and McBryde, Emma (2023) Time to commencement of effective treatment in patients with drug-resistant tuberculosis diagnosed in the Torres Strait–Papua New Guinea cross-border region. Rural and Remote Health, 23. 7165.

Foster, J'Belle, Mendez, Diana, Marais, Ben J., Denholm, Justin T., Peniyamina, Dunstan, and McBryde, Emma S. (2022) Critical Consideration of Tuberculosis Management of Papua New Guinea Nationals and Cross-Border Health Issues in the Remote Torres Strait Islands, Australia. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 7 (9). 251.

Foster, J'Belle, Mendez, Diana, Marais, Ben J., Peniyamina, Dunstan, and McBryde, Emma S. (2022) Predictors of unfavourable treatment outcome in patients diagnosed with drug-resistant tuberculosis in the Torres Strait / Papua New Guinea border region. PLoS ONE, 17 (12). e0266436.

Foster, J'Belle, Marais, Ben, Martin, Rotona L., Peniyamina, Dunstan, Mendez, Diana, Warner, Jeffrey, and McBryde, Emma (2021) Tuberculosis in the Torres Strait: the lady doth test too much. Rural and Remote Health, 21 (1). 6317.

G

Grzybowska, Hanna, Hickson, R.I., Bhandari, Bishal, Cai, Chen, Towke, Michael, Itzstein, Benjamin, Jurdak, Raja, Liebig, Jessica, Najeebullah, Kamran, Plani, Adrian, El Shoghri, Ahmad, and Paini, Dean (2022) SAfE transport: wearing face masks significantly reduces the spread of COVID-19 on trains. BMC Infectious Diseases, 22 (1). 694.

H

Hickson, R.I., Rawlinson, Andrew A., Roberts, Melanie E., and Faux, Noel G. (2023) Modelling aspects of the effect of community stigma on the prevalence of anxiety and/or depression. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. pp. 358-364. From: MODSIM 2023: 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, 9-14 July 2023, Darwin, NT, Australia.

Hickson, Roslyn (2021) Book Review of "Mathematical Models in Epidemiology" by Fred Brauer, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, and Zhilan Feng. New York, NY, USA, Springer, 2019. ISBN 978-1-4939-9826-5. SIAM Review, 63 (3). pp. 645-648.

Hettiarachchige, Chathurika, von Cavallar, Stefan, Lynar, Timothy, Hickson, Roslyn I., and Gambhir, Manoj (2018) Risk prediction system for dengue transmission based on high resolution weather data. PLoS ONE, 13 (12). e0208203.

Hopf, Jess K., Jones, Geoffrey P., Williamson, David H., and Connolly, Sean R. (2016) Synergistic effects of marine reserves and harvest controls on the abundance and catch dynamics of a coral reef fishery. Current Biology, 26 (12). pp. 1543-1548.

Hopf, Jess K., Jones, Geoffrey P., Williamson, David H., and Connolly, Sean R. (2016) Fishery consequences of marine reserves: short-term pain for longer-term gain. Ecological Applications, 26 (3). pp. 818-829.

J

Jayasundara, Pavithra, Peariasamy, Kalaiarasu M., Law, Kian Boon, Abd Rahim, Ku Nurhasni Ku, Lee, Sit Wai, Ghazali, Izzuna Mudla M., Abayawardana, Milinda, Linh-Vi, Le, Khalaf, Rukun K. S., Razali, Karina, Le, Xuan, Chong, Zhuo Lin, McBryde, Emma S., Meehan, Michael T., Caldwell, Jamie M., Ragonnet, Romain, and Trauer, James M. (2021) Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination. Epidemics, 37. 100517.

K

Kuddus, Md Abdul, McBryde, Emma, Adekunle, Adeshina, and Meehan, Michael (2022) Analysis and simulation of a two-strain disease model with nonlinear incidence. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 155. 111637.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, McBryde, Emma S., Adekunle, Adeshina I., White, Lisa J., and Meehan, Michael T. (2022) Mathematical analysis of a two-strain tuberculosis model in Bangladesh. Scientific Reports, 12. 3634.

Kuddus, Md Abdul, and Rahman, Azizur (2022) Modelling and analysis of human–mosquito malaria transmission dynamics in Bangladesh. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 193. pp. 123-138.

L

Lv, Lei, van de Pol, Martijn, Osmond, Helen L., Liu, Yang, Cockburn, Andrew, and Kruuk, Loeske E.B. (2023) Winter mortality of a passerine bird increases following hotter summers and during winters with higher maximum temperatures. Science Advances, 9 (1). eabm0197.

Longmuir, Daniel N.R., Hoskins, Andrew J., and Hickson, R.I. (2023) A metapopulation model of Little Red Flying Fox population dynamics across Queensland. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. pp. 517-523. From: MODSIM 2023: 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, 9-14 July 2023, Darwin, NT, Australia.

M

Meehan, Michael T., Henderson, Alec S., Steinig, Eike, McBryde, Emma S., and Duchene, Sebastian (2023) Replicating superspreader dynamics with birth-death phylodynamic models. In: [Presented at the 9th International Conference on Infectious Disease Dynamics]. From: Epidemics 9: 9th International Conference on Infectious Disease Dynamics, 28 November - 1 December 2023, Bologna, Italy.

Mahabbati, Atbin, Beringer, Jason, Leopold, Matthias, McHugh, Ian, Cleverly, James, Isaac, Peter, and Izady, Azizallah (2021) A comparison of gap-filling algorithms for eddy covariance fluxes and their drivers. Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems, 10. pp. 123-140.

Meehan, Michael T., Cope, Robert C., and McBryde, Emma S. (2020) On the probability of strain invasion in endemic settings: accounting for individual heterogeneity and control in multi-strain dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 487. 110109.

McLean, Nina M., van der Jeugd, Henk P., van Turnhout, Chris A.M., Lefcheck, Jonathan S., and van de Pol, Martijn (2020) Reduced avian body condition due to global warming has little reproductive or population consequences. Oikos, 129 (5). pp. 714-730.

McBryde, Emma (2020) The value of early transmission dynamic studies in emerging infectious diseases. Lancet Infectious Diseases, 20 (5). pp. 512-513.

Meehan, Michael T., Cocks, Daniel G., Mueller, Johannes, and McBryde, Emma S. (2019) Global stability properties of a class of renewal epidemic models. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 78 (6). pp. 1713-1725.

Melsew, Yayehirad A., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Cheng, Allen C., McBryde, Emma S., Ragonnet, Romain, and Trauer, James M. (2019) Heterogeneous infectiousness in mathematical models of tuberculosis: a systematic review. Epidemics, 30. 100374.

Meehan, Michael T., Cocks, Daniel G., Trauer, James M., and McBryde, Emma S. (2018) Coupled, multi-strain epidemic models of mutating pathogens. Mathematical Biosciences, 296. pp. 82-92.

Manickam, Appukutty, Marshman, Laurence A.G., Johnston, Ross, and Thomas, Piers A.W. (2017) Mathematical formulae to estimate chronic subdural haematoma volume: flawed assumption regarding ellipsoid morphology. Journal of Clinical Neuroscience, 40. pp. 39-43.

McLean, Nina, Lawson, Callum R., Leech, David I., and van de Pol, Martijn (2016) Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics. Ecology Letters, 19 (6). pp. 595-608.

N

Ndii, M.Z., Allingham, D., Hickson, R., and Glass, K. (2016) The effect of Wolbachia on dengue dynamics in the presence of two serotypes of dengue: symmetric and asymmetric epidemiological characteristics. Epidemiology and Infection, 144 (13). pp. 2874-2882.

Ndii, Meksiallis Z., Allingham, David, Hickson, R.I., and Glass, Kathryn (2016) The effect of Wolbachia on dengue outbreaks when dengue is repeatedly introduced. Theoretical Population Biology, 111. pp. 9-15.

O

Ogunlade, Samson Tosin (2023) Modeling the potential of introducing different Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes to control Aedes-borne arboviral infections. PhD thesis, James Cook University.

Ogunlade, Samson T., Adekunle, Adeshina I., Meehan, Michael T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2023) Quantifying the impact of Wolbachia releases on dengue infection in Townsville, Australia. Scientific Reports, 13. 14932.

Ogunlade, Samson T., Meehan, Michael T., Adekunle, Adeshina I., and McBryde, Emma S. (2023) A Systematic Review of Mathematical Models of Dengue Transmission and Vector Control: 2010–2020. Viruses, 15 (1). 254.

Ogunlade, Samson T., Adekunle, Adeshina I., McBryde, Emma S., and Meehan, Michael T. (2022) Modelling the ecological dynamics of mosquito populations with multiple co-circulating Wolbachia strains. Scientific Reports, 12. 20826.

Ogunlade, Samson, Meehan, Michael, Adekunle, Adeshina I., Rojas Alvarez, Diana P., Adegboye, Oyelola A., and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) A review: Aedes-borne arboviral infections, controls and Wolbachia-based strategies. Vaccines, 9 (1). 32.

Okosun, K.O., Khan, M.A., Bonyah, E., and Ogunlade, S.A. (2017) On the dynamics of HIV-AIDS and cryptosporidiosis. European Physical Journal Plus, 132 (8). 363. pp. 338-363.

P

Payne, Nicholas, Iosilevskii, Gil, Barnett, Adam, Fischer, Chris, Graham, Rachel T., Gleiss, Adrian C., and Watanabe, Yuuki Y. (2016) Great hammerhead sharks swim on their side to reduce transport costs. Nature Communications, 7. 12289. pp. 1-5.

R

Ragonnet, Romain, Flegg, Jennifer A., Brilleman, Samuel L., Tiemersma, Edine W., Melsew, Yayehirad A., McBryde, Emma S., and Trauer, James M. (2021) Revisiting the Natural History of Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Bayesian Estimation of Natural Recovery and Mortality Rates. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 73 (1). e88-e96.

Radchuk, Viktoriia, Reed, Thomas, Teplitsky, Céline, van de Pol, Martijn, Charmantier, Anne, Hassall, Christopher, Adamík, Peter, Adriaensen, Frank, Ahola, Markus P., Arcese, Peter, Miguel Avilés, Jesús, Balbontin, Javier, Berg, Karl S., Borras, Antoni, Burthe, Sarah, Clobert, Jean, Dehnhard, Nina, de Lope, Florentino, Dhondt, André A., Dingemanse, Niels J., Doi, Hideyuki, Eeva, Tapio, Fickel, Joerns, Filella, Iolanda, Fossøy, Frode, Goodenough, Anne E., Hall, Stephen J.G., Hansson, Bengt, Harris, Michael, Hasselquist, Dennis, Hickler, Thomas, Joshi, Jasmin, Kharouba, Heather, Martínez, Juan Gabriel, Mihoub, Jean Baptiste, Mills, James A., Molina-Morales, Mercedes, Moksnes, Arne, Ozgul, Arpat, Parejo, Deseada, Pilard, Philippe, Poisbleau, Maud, Rousset, Francois, Rödel, Mark Oliver, Scott, David, Senar, Juan Carlos, Stefanescu, Constanti, Stokke, Bård G., Kusano, Tamotsu, Tarka, Maja, Tarwater, Corey E., Thonicke, Kirsten, Thorley, Jack, Wilting, Andreas, Tryjanowski, Piotr, Merilä, Juha, Sheldon, Ben C., Pape Møller, Anders, Matthysen, Erik, Janzen, Fredric, Dobson, F. Stephen, Visser, Marcel E., Beissinger, Steven R., Courtiol, Alexandre, and Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie (2019) Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient. Nature Communications, 10 (1). 3109.

Roberts, M.G., Hickson, R.I., Mccaw, J.M., and Talarmain, L. (2019) A simple influenza model with complicated dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 78. pp. 607-624.

Ragonnet, Romain, Trauer, James M., Scott, Nick, Meehan, Michael T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2017) Optimally capturing latency dynamics in models of tuberculosis transmission. Epidemics, 21. pp. 39-47.

S

Suhir, E. (2021) Astronaut's performance vs. his/hers human-capacity-factor and state-of-health: application of double-exponential-probability-distribution function. Acta Astronautica, 178. pp. 250-256.

Shaweno, Debebe, Trauer, James M., Doan, Tan N., Denholm, Justin T., and McBryde, Emma S. (2021) Geospatial clustering and modelling provide policy guidance to distribute funding for active TB case finding in Ethiopia. Epidemics, 36. 100470.

Schmitz, Ulf, and Wolkenhauer, Olaf (2016) Systems medicine. Methods in Molecular Biology, 1386 . Springer, New York, USA.

T

Trauer, James M., Marais, Ben J., Ragonnet, Romain, Savulescu, Julian, and McBryde, Emma (2021) Time for a clear national COVID-19 strategy. Medical Journal of Australia, 214 (2). 94-94.e1.

Trauer, James M., Kawai, Andrew, Coussens, Anna K., Datta, Manjula, Williams, Bridget M., McBryde, Emma S., and Ragonnet, Romain (2021) Timing of Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure explains variation in BCG effectiveness: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Thorax, 76 (11). pp. 1131-1141.

Trauer, James M., Williams, Bridget, Laemmle-Ruff, Ingrid, Horyniak, Danielle, Caplice, Lila V.Soares, McBryde, Emma S., Majumdar, Suman S., Graham, Stephen, and Hellard, Margaret E. (2021) Tuberculosis in migrants to Australia: Outcomes of a national screening program. The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 10. 100135.

Trauer, James M., Lydeamore, Michael J., Dalton, Gregory W., Pilcher, David, Meehan, Michael T., McBryde, Emma S., Cheng, Allen C., Sutton, Brett, and Ragonnet, Romain (2021) Understanding how Victoria, Australia gained control of its second COVID-19 wave. Nature Communications, 12. 6266.

Thompson, Robin N., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Isham, Valerie, Arribas-Bel, Daniel, Ashby, Ben, Britton, Tom, Challenor, Peter, Chappell, Lauren H.K., Clapham, Hannah, Cunniffe, Nik J., Dawid, A. Philip, Donnelly, Christl A., Eggo, Rosalind M., Funk, Sebastian, Gilbert, Nigel, Glendinning, Paul, Gog, Julia R., Hart, William S., Heesterbeek, Hans, House, Thomas, Keeling, Matt, Kiss, István Z., Kretzschmar, Mirjam E., Lloyd, Alun L., McBryde, Emma S., McCaw, James M., McKinley, Trevelyan J., Miller, Joel C., Morris, Martina, O’Neill, Philip D., Parag, Kris V., Pearson, Carl A.B, Pellis, Lorenzo, Pulliam, Juliet R.C., Ross, Joshua V., Tomba, Gianpaolo Scalia, Silverman, Bernard W., Struchiner, Claudio J., Tildesley, Michael J., Trapman, Pieter, Webb, Cerian R., Mollison, Denis, and Restif, Olivier (2020) Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, Biological Sciences, 287 (1932).

V

van der Kolk, Henk-Jan, Ens, Bruno J., Frauendorf, Magali, Jongejans, Eelke, Oosterbeek, Kees, Bouten, Willem, and van de Pol, Martijn (2021) Why time-limited individuals can make populations more vulnerable to disturbance. Oikos, 130 (4). pp. 637-651.

van de Pol, Martijn, Pen, Ido, Heg, Dik, and Weissing, Franz J. (2007) Variation in habitat choice and delayed reproduction: adaptive queuing strategies or individual quality differences? American Naturalist, 170 (4). pp. 530-541.

W

Wu, Siyuan, and Schmitz, Ulf (2023) Single-cell and long-read sequencing to enhance modelling of splicing and cell-fate determination. Computational and Structural Biotechnology Journal, 21. pp. 2373-2380.

Walker, C.R., Hickson, R.I., Chang, E., Ngor, P., Sovannaroth, S., Simpson, J.A., Price, D.J., McCaw, J.M., Price, R.N., Flegg, J.A., and Devine, A. (2023) A model for malaria treatment evaluation in the presence of multiple species. Epidemics, 44. 100687.

Wu, Siyuan, Zhou, Tianshou, and Tian, Tianhai (2022) A robust method for designing multistable systems by embedding bistable subsystems. npj Systems Biology and Applications, 8 (10).

Wu, Paul Pao-Yen, McMahon, Kathryn, Rasheed, Michael A., Kendrick, Gary A., York, Paul H., Chartrand, Kathryn, Caley, M. Julian, and Mengersen, Kerrie (2018) Managing seagrass resilience under cumulative dredging affecting light: predicting risk using dynamic Bayesian networks. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55 (3). pp. 1339-1350.

Wu, Yue, Marsh, Julie A., McBryde, Emma S., and Snelling, Thomas L. (2018) The influence of incomplete case ascertainment on measures of vaccine efficacy. Vaccine, 36 (21). pp. 2946-2952.

Y

Yan, Ada W.C., Black, Andrew J., McCaw, James M., Rebuli, Nicolas, Ross, Joshua V., Swan, Annalisa J., and Hickson, Roslyn I. (2018) The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities. Mathematical Biosciences, 303. pp. 139-147.